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SHIB Price Prediction: Can Bullish Technicals Overcome Fundamental Headwinds?

SHIB Price Prediction: Can Bullish Technicals Overcome Fundamental Headwinds?

Author:
SHIB News
Published:
2025-12-04 10:09:02
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[TRADE_PLUGIN]SHIBUSDT,SHIBUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

#SHIB

  • Technical Uptrend Intact: SHIB trading above its 20-day moving average and showing early signs of a bullish MACD crossover suggests underlying buying pressure and a positive near-term bias on the charts.
  • Fundamental Sentiment Pressure: News of a major security exploit, resistance-level rejections, and stalled ecosystem growth creates significant headwinds that could limit buying enthusiasm and cap price rallies.
  • Critical Resistance at $0.00000925: The upper Bollinger Band represents the immediate technical hurdle. A confirmed breakout above this level is needed to signal the next leg higher, while failure here could reinforce the current consolidation.

SHIB Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: SHIB Shows Bullish Momentum Above Key Moving Average

SHIB is currently trading at $0.00000881, positioned above its 20-day moving average of $0.00000850, which suggests a foundation of underlying support. The MACD indicator, while still negative at -0.00000025, shows a rising histogram (0.00000018) above the signal line (0.00000042), indicating building bullish momentum. Price action is navigating within the Bollinger Bands, with the current level sitting comfortably above the middle band and well clear of the lower band at $0.00000775. The proximity to the upper band at $0.00000925 presents the nearest technical resistance.

"The consolidation above the 20-day MA, coupled with a MACD that is attempting a bullish crossover, points to a market that is gathering strength," said BTCC financial analyst Sophia. "A sustained break above the $0.00000925 resistance could open the path for further gains."

SHIBUSDT

Market Sentiment: Headwinds from Security and Ecosystem Challenges

Recent headlines present a mixed but challenging backdrop for Shiba Inu. News of a failed rebound at a key resistance level and a significant $2.4 million exploit that remains unresolved contribute to near-term caution and potential selling pressure. Furthermore, reports that the token burn strategy is stalling amid Shibarium's struggles highlight ecosystem development hurdles that could dampen long-term investor enthusiasm.

"The fundamental news flow is currently acting as a counterweight to the improving technical picture," noted BTCC financial analyst Sophia. "While the charts suggest accumulation, sentiment is being tested by security concerns and questions about utility growth. The market's next MOVE will likely depend on which force proves dominant."

Factors Influencing SHIB’s Price

Shiba Inu Tests Rebound as Sellers Defend Key Resistance

Shiba Inu's 5% intraday bounce to $0.00000888 has traders debating whether the meme coin can sustain momentum. The move places SHIB at the midline of a descending channel dating to mid-2025, with resistance looming at $0.00000988. Spot flows remain anemic at $351,000—hardly a vote of confidence.

Technical signals conflict: Short-term momentum improves while the broader structure stays bearish. Until SHIB breaches the $0.00000941-$0.00001175 resistance cluster, rallies remain suspect. 'Descending channels either break or break you,' remarked one chartist, noting the 20/50/100/200-day EMAs all cap upside.

Shiba Inu Faces Security Crisis as Hacker Evades Justice After $2.4M Exploit

The shiba inu ecosystem reels from a $2.4 million breach of its Shibarium Bridge, with the perpetrator vanishing despite a bounty offer. Developer Mitsuki Ryu Shimamoto revealed the hacker's failed laundering attempt through Tornado Cash, which inadvertently exposed their identity. Authorities face an uphill battle to recover the funds, as the case demands substantial resources for tracing.

Market sentiment wobbles as the incident exposes critical vulnerabilities in Shibarium's infrastructure. While SHIB prices show tentative recovery signs, the breach underscores persistent security risks in meme coin projects. The hacker's refusal to cooperate amplifies concerns about future attacks on the network.

Shiba Inu's Token Burn Strategy Stalls Growth Amid Shibarium Struggles

Shiba Inu's price recovery remains sluggish as the meme coin's ecosystem leans too heavily on token burns. With 589 trillion SHIB tokens in circulation, the burn mechanism—designed to reduce supply—has proven inadequate. Shibarium, the layer-2 network tasked with accelerating burns, is faltering after a $4.1 million hack in September exposed security flaws and eroded confidence.

The project's diversification efforts—including card games, Welly's burger joints, and John Richmond collaborations—have failed to offset its reliance on burns. Even the SHIB Metaverse, still in development, faces headwinds as broader interest in VIRTUAL worlds wanes. Meta's massive losses on metaverse investments underscore the sector's challenges.

How High Will SHIB Price Go?

Based on the provided technical and fundamental data, SHIB's price trajectory faces a clash between encouraging chart patterns and concerning news events. A realistic short-to-medium term projection must balance these factors.

Price Scenarios & Key Levels:

ScenarioTrigger / ConditionPotential TargetKey Risk
Bullish BreakoutSustained daily close above Bollinger Band resistance at $0.00000925, accompanied by positive ecosystem news.Initial target near $0.00000980 - $0.00001050. The 20-day MA at $0.00000850 would become primary support.Failure to hold above $0.00000925 could lead to a retest of the 20-day MA support.
Consolidation RangePrice oscillates between the 20-day MA ($0.00000850) and the upper Bollinger Band ($0.00000925) as news sentiment weighs.Continued trading within the $0.00000850 - $0.00000925 band.A break below the 20-day MA could see a swift move toward the lower Bollinger Band at $0.00000775.
Bearish ReversalLoss of the 20-day MA support followed by a break below the lower Bollinger Band at $0.00000775.Next significant support zone around $0.00000700 - $0.00000725.Further negative developments regarding security or Shibarium.

"The technical setup favors a test of higher prices, but the fundamental overhang from the hack and ecosystem struggles cannot be ignored," said BTCC financial analyst Sophia. "A prudent outlook suggests the most likely path in the coming weeks is continued volatility within the defined Bollinger Band range, with a decisive breakout contingent on resolving the fundamental concerns."

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